Macro Topics Note 06 July 2026

06 July 2026
Drafting the Markets
Macro Topics Note

NATO's summit this week in Ankara is marked by tensions, particularly between the US and its allies over defense spending and Ukraine's ongoing conflict. As NATO allies prepare to increase collective defense spending by USD 139 Bn, US President Trump's skepticism towards European countries' military contributions heightens, leading to fears of potential US withdrawal from NATO.

In the realm of energy, the Strait of Hormuz remains fraught with uncertainty as Iran and Oman navigate maritime security talks while Pakistan resorts to spot LNG purchases amid persistent supply chain fragility. Europe enters winter with critically low gas storage levels, adding pressure to secure alternative sources as ADNOC strengthens its market presence, positioning itself as a reliable supplier amid geopolitical instability.

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