“We’ll beat the hell out of them” – Middle East Latest

29 July 2026
Charles Chasty
Charles Chasty
Head of Research

Iran's recent offensive against US forces in Jordan represents a significant escalation in ongoing tensions, leading to a sharp increase in oil prices.

This conflict, now into its sixth month, has reignited war risk premiums for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, reaching 7.5 – 10 per cent of hull value.

Concurrently, loadings of VLCCs at Sidi Kerir have surged to an average of 290,000 bpd, the highest since February, indicating strong but precarious activity amidst the Houthi blockade of Saudi shipping in the Red Sea and ongoing regional threats.

The intricacies of these geopolitical tensions are reshaping shipping dynamics and market behaviours, as the business environment remains fluid and fraught with risks.

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